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PGR is now overvalued and could go down -23%

May 13, 2025, 12:00 PM
-6.11%
What does PGR do
Progressive is an insurance holding company based in Mayfield, Ohio, employing 61,400 staff, offering personal and commercial auto, residential property, and specialty casualty insurance. Its segments include Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, and Property.
Based on our analysis, Progressive has received a fairly valued rating of 2 out of 5 stars from Cashu. Several key financial metrics indicate potential concerns when compared to industry averages, suggesting that the company may not be positioned as favorably as its peers. One notable metric is the net profit margin, which stands at 11.26%, significantly lower than the sector average of 18.54%. This indicates that Progressive retains a smaller portion of its revenue as profit compared to competitors, which could reflect inefficiencies or higher operational costs. Additionally, the company's dividend yield is 0.43%, well below the sector average of 3.08%. A lower dividend yield may suggest that the company is not returning as much capital to shareholders, which can be a concern for income-focused investors. The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for Progressive is 18.87, notably higher than the sector average of 11.69. This suggests that investors are currently paying more for each dollar of earnings compared to the industry, which could indicate overvaluation. Furthermore, the price-to-book (PB) ratio of 5.49 exceeds the sector average of 1.12, highlighting that the stock may be priced excessively relative to its book value. While Progressive does show strengths in areas like return on equity and return on assets, the underperformance in these key metrics leads to a cautious outlook regarding its valuation. This is not a comprehensive overview of our valuation, and should not be viewed as financial advice. Always do your own research before considering an investment.
📡️ Financials
Overvalued

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