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SPOT is now overvalued and could go down -37%

May 31, 2025, 12:00 PM
6.06%
What does SPOT do
Spotify Technology SA provides digital music services, allowing users to discover new music and create personalized collections through Spotify Free or Spotify Premium subscriptions. The firm operates in over 20 countries and includes subsidiaries like Spotify LTD.
Based on our analysis, Spotify Technology S.A. has received an overvalued rating of 1 out of 5 stars from Cashu, primarily due to its high valuation metrics compared to its sector peers. Firstly, Spotify's Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio stands at an exceptionally high 112.14, while the sector average is only 15.51. A PE ratio indicates how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings; therefore, a significantly higher ratio suggests that the stock may be overvalued relative to its earnings potential. Additionally, the company’s Price-to-Book (PB) ratio is 14.36, compared to the sector average of 2.20. The PB ratio measures the market's valuation of a company's equity relative to its book value. A higher ratio implies that investors are paying more for each dollar of net assets, which can indicate overvaluation if not supported by strong fundamentals. While Spotify does exhibit a positive net profit margin of 7.26, which is better than the sector average of -18.13, it is important to note that positive profitability alone does not justify the high valuation ratios. Furthermore, the company's Return on Equity (ROE) ratio is 20.60, significantly outperforming the sector's -23.21, and its Return on Assets (ROA) is 9.48 versus the sector's -13.48. Although these indicators reflect operational efficiency, they do not offset the concerns raised by the elevated PE and PB ratios. This is not a comprehensive overview of our valuation, and should not be viewed as financial advice. Always do your own research before considering an investment.
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Overvalued

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